TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 9:37 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sharath Murari and Joao Rasgado in the M25 Luanda, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sharath Murari' if Sharath Murari advances against Joao Rasgado. This market will resolve to 'Joao Rasgado' if Joao Rasgado advances against Sharath Murari. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sharath Murari and Joao Rasgado in the M25 Luanda, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sharath Murari' if Sharath Murari advances against Joao Rasgado. This market will resolve to 'Joao Rasgado' if Joao Rasgado advances against Sharath Murari. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before an event begins, as prediction markets can incorporate information not yet fully priced into sportsbook lines. Comparing these odds can provide a broader understanding of potential outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand, with higher demand pushing prices up and lower demand pushing them down. This dynamic pricing system aims to create a highly accurate forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Luanda tennis match between Sharath Murari and Joao Rasgado. The platform will verify the outcome against established sports data sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to shareholders accordingly. The precise timing of resolution may depend on the speed at which official results are published and verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 26, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even shifts in public perception could all cause traders to reassess their predictions. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, could also impact trading activity. Any significant information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning is likely to move the market, as traders adjust their positions based on the latest developments.