TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 8:43 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Pavel Skvortcov and Christian Hamuli in the M25 Luanda, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pavel Skvortcov' if Pavel Skvortcov advances against Christian Hamuli. This market will resolve to 'Christian Hamuli' if Christian Hamuli advances against Pavel Skvortcov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Pavel Skvortcov and Christian Hamuli in the M25 Luanda, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pavel Skvortcov' if Pavel Skvortcov advances against Christian Hamuli. This market will resolve to 'Christian Hamuli' if Christian Hamuli advances against Pavel Skvortcov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Often, prediction markets can be more accurate than traditional polls or analyst predictions. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and discrepancies can arise due to differing information or biases. Examining both can provide a more well-rounded assessment of the likely outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for one outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a 'yes' share represents the probability of Pavel Skvortcov winning, while a 'no' share represents the probability of Christian Hamuli winning. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and collective opinion of traders participating in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the boxing match between Pavel Skvortcov and Christian Hamuli, as declared by the relevant boxing authorities. The market will determine whether Pavel Skvortcov won the match or Christian Hamuli was victorious. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and objective, relying on publicly available information.
Several signals could influence the price action of this market before Oct 26, 2026. Any news regarding the fighters’ training, health, or potential injuries could significantly shift the odds. Public statements from the fighters or their trainers, changes in betting patterns at sportsbooks, and even media coverage could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected developments in the lead-up to the fight, such as a late change in venue or a dispute over the rules, could also cause movement. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the fighters’ chances of winning could move this market.