TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 10:47 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikita Ianin and Ruslan Serazhetdinov in the M25 Luanda, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikita Ianin' if Nikita Ianin advances against Ruslan Serazhetdinov. This market will resolve to 'Ruslan Serazhetdinov' if Ruslan Serazhetdinov advances against Nikita Ianin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikita Ianin and Ruslan Serazhetdinov in the M25 Luanda, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikita Ianin' if Nikita Ianin advances against Ruslan Serazhetdinov. This market will resolve to 'Ruslan Serazhetdinov' if Ruslan Serazhetdinov advances against Nikita Ianin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and their own risk assessment, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If sportsbook odds significantly diverge from those found here, it could indicate a disagreement about the probabilities, potentially highlighting information not fully captured by the sportsbook. Examining these differences can be valuable when forming your own opinion.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence regarding the Ianin vs Serazhetdinov match.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Ianin vs Serazhetdinov match as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 28, 2026. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in their training regimens could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match venue or scheduling changes might also have an impact. Furthermore, public opinion, expert analysis, and even social media buzz surrounding the Ianin vs Serazhetdinov match could all contribute to price movements as traders react to new information.