TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 9:59 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Jadoun and Parth Aggarwal in the M25 Luanda, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Jadoun' if Nicolas Jadoun advances against Parth Aggarwal. This market will resolve to 'Parth Aggarwal' if Parth Aggarwal advances against Nicolas Jadoun. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Jadoun and Parth Aggarwal in the M25 Luanda, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Jadoun' if Nicolas Jadoun advances against Parth Aggarwal. This market will resolve to 'Parth Aggarwal' if Parth Aggarwal advances against Nicolas Jadoun. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but are also influenced by factors like public betting patterns and risk management. This market, like others, may show discrepancies with sportsbook odds due to differing information sources and incentives. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially regarding late-breaking news or subtle shifts in player form. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed betting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the Jadoun vs Aggarwal match. The market’s efficiency depends on active participation and the availability of relevant information.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Jadoun vs Aggarwal match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the outcome against established sources to ensure accuracy and fairness. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result. This process ensures a transparent and reliable resolution for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 20, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in match conditions, or updated rankings could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about player strategies or coaching decisions could also trigger movement. Furthermore, significant betting activity from well-informed traders could indicate a shift in sentiment. Public opinion and analysis from sports commentators might also play a role, though to a lesser extent than concrete developments directly affecting the players’ performance in the Jadoun vs Aggarwal match.