TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 8:31 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between LUCAS GONCALVES FRANCA and Isaac Nortey in the M25 Luanda, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'LUCAS GONCALVES FRANCA' if LUCAS GONCALVES FRANCA advances against Isaac Nortey. This market will resolve to 'Isaac Nortey' if Isaac Nortey advances against LUCAS GONCALVES FRANCA. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between LUCAS GONCALVES FRANCA and Isaac Nortey in the M25 Luanda, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'LUCAS GONCALVES FRANCA' if LUCAS GONCALVES FRANCA advances against Isaac Nortey. This market will resolve to 'Isaac Nortey' if Isaac Nortey advances against LUCAS GONCALVES FRANCA. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own analysis and to balance betting action, while this market represents the collective belief of informed traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it may indicate that prediction market participants have information not yet fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It’s important to note that prediction markets are forward-looking, incorporating expectations about potential events influencing the outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a particular player will win, the higher the price of shares representing that player's victory will climb. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the match's likely result.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Luanda tennis match between Lucas Goncalves Franca and Isaac Nortey. The platform will verify the winner based on official tournament records and reporting, ensuring an accurate and transparent resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for the final match result to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also impact sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could signal new information or a change in market perception. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading activity on Polymarket will be crucial for understanding potential market movements before the match concludes.