TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 10:18 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Louis Larue and Jack Loge in the M25 Luanda, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Louis Larue' if Louis Larue advances against Jack Loge. This market will resolve to 'Jack Loge' if Jack Loge advances against Louis Larue. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Louis Larue and Jack Loge in the M25 Luanda, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Louis Larue' if Louis Larue advances against Jack Loge. This market will resolve to 'Jack Loge' if Jack Loge advances against Louis Larue. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially when there’s significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome. Comparing the odds can reveal where the crowd thinks sportsbooks may be over or underestimating the probability of a particular result. This can be a useful tool for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of the event happening. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of success. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform’s design encourages price discovery, meaning the market price tends to converge towards what traders collectively believe is the true probability. This dynamic pricing system allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Louis Larue vs Jack Loge match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be eligible to receive their winnings, while those who bet on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their shares. The resolution process is designed to be objective and based on verifiable facts.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 23, 2026. Any news regarding the condition of either Louis Larue or Jack Loge, such as injuries or changes in training schedules, could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match venue or rules could also have an impact. Furthermore, broader trends in the sport or the performance of related athletes might indirectly affect the market. Public opinion, as expressed through social media or expert analysis, can also play a role in driving price movements as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.