TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 8:16 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Louis Larue and Eliakim Coulibaly in the M25 Luanda, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Louis Larue' if Louis Larue advances against Eliakim Coulibaly. This market will resolve to 'Eliakim Coulibaly' if Eliakim Coulibaly advances against Louis Larue. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Louis Larue and Eliakim Coulibaly in the M25 Luanda, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Louis Larue' if Louis Larue advances against Eliakim Coulibaly. This market will resolve to 'Eliakim Coulibaly' if Eliakim Coulibaly advances against Louis Larue. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individual traders’ beliefs and information. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially when there’s significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will fluctuate, reflecting the evolving consensus. The market’s depth and liquidity, currently at $432, influence how efficiently prices adjust to new information. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Larue vs Coulibaly match, as determined by the governing sporting body. Any official announcements or results will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches. The platform will then finalize the outcome and distribute payouts accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 30, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving either Louis Larue or Eliakim Coulibaly might also shift expectations. Public opinion, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role, although the market is ultimately driven by trading activity on Polymarket. Any significant development related to the players or the event itself has the potential to move the market.