TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 9:51 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lawrence Bataljin and Jack Loge in the M25 Luanda, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lawrence Bataljin' if Lawrence Bataljin advances against Jack Loge. This market will resolve to 'Jack Loge' if Jack Loge advances against Lawrence Bataljin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lawrence Bataljin and Jack Loge in the M25 Luanda, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lawrence Bataljin' if Lawrence Bataljin advances against Jack Loge. This market will resolve to 'Jack Loge' if Jack Loge advances against Lawrence Bataljin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise in evaluating the perceived probabilities of different outcomes and identifying potential value.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and sentiment. The current implied probability of a specific outcome is reflected in the share price.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Bataljin vs Loge match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 28, 2026. Any news regarding the players’ condition, such as injuries or illness, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in form, recent match results, or even tactical adjustments announced by either player could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the match schedule or location might also cause fluctuations. Traders should stay informed about these potential catalysts to assess how they might affect the outcome and adjust their positions accordingly.