TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 9:13 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jack Loge and Eliakim Coulibaly in the M25 Luanda, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jack Loge' if Jack Loge advances against Eliakim Coulibaly. This market will resolve to 'Eliakim Coulibaly' if Eliakim Coulibaly advances against Jack Loge. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jack Loge and Eliakim Coulibaly in the M25 Luanda, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jack Loge' if Jack Loge advances against Eliakim Coulibaly. This market will resolve to 'Eliakim Coulibaly' if Eliakim Coulibaly advances against Jack Loge. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If sportsbook odds significantly disagree with those found here, it could indicate a potential mispricing or a different assessment of the fighters’ chances. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies and information sets.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability of a particular outcome is determined by the share price; a higher price indicates greater confidence in that outcome. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions, leading to dynamic price movements that reflect new information and changing sentiment regarding the Luanda boxing match.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result declared by the boxing commission overseeing the Luanda boxing match. The winner of the fight, as officially announced, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered according to Polymarket’s standard procedures, but the initial official declaration will be the primary determinant.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. News regarding the fighters’ training, health, or any potential injuries could significantly shift the odds. Public statements from the fighters or their trainers, as well as expert analysis from boxing commentators, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected changes in the fight’s location or scheduling might also cause fluctuations. Finally, any significant betting activity observed in traditional sportsbooks could influence traders on Polymarket to reassess their positions.