TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 9:19 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Isaac Nortey and Pavel Skvortcov in the M25 Luanda, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Isaac Nortey' if Isaac Nortey advances against Pavel Skvortcov. This market will resolve to 'Pavel Skvortcov' if Pavel Skvortcov advances against Isaac Nortey. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Isaac Nortey and Pavel Skvortcov in the M25 Luanda, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Isaac Nortey' if Isaac Nortey advances against Pavel Skvortcov. This market will resolve to 'Pavel Skvortcov' if Pavel Skvortcov advances against Isaac Nortey. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives than traditional betting venues. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on fighter form, injury concerns, or even subtle tactical advantages, offering opportunities for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Nortey vs Skvortcov match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, indicating growing confidence in that result. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants, providing a continuously updated assessment of the likely winner.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing boxing authority following the completion of the Nortey vs Skvortcov match. The fighter declared the winner by the official decision, technical knockout, or disqualification will determine the settlement of this market. Any disputes regarding the official result will be resolved based on publicly available information and established boxing regulations.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before Oct 27, 2026. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference dynamics could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about fighter weight or any controversies surrounding the match preparations could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, any analysis released by boxing experts or changes in public perception of each fighter's chances will likely influence trading activity and move the odds in this market.