TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 10:54 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Guelord Kayombo and Jack Loge in the M25 Luanda, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Guelord Kayombo' if Guelord Kayombo advances against Jack Loge. This market will resolve to 'Jack Loge' if Jack Loge advances against Guelord Kayombo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Guelord Kayombo and Jack Loge in the M25 Luanda, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Guelord Kayombo' if Guelord Kayombo advances against Jack Loge. This market will resolve to 'Jack Loge' if Jack Loge advances against Guelord Kayombo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the wisdom of the crowd on Polymarket, aims to reflect the true probability of an outcome, though discrepancies can occur due to differing information or biases. It's common to see prediction markets offer more competitive odds, especially when there's significant public interest and informed trading activity surrounding an event like the Kayombo vs Loge match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of participants, constantly adjusting to new information and changing sentiment regarding the Kayombo vs Loge match.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the boxing match between Guelord Kayombo and Jack Loge, as declared by the relevant sporting authorities. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future predictions.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding the fighters’ training, health, or potential injuries would likely have a significant impact. Public statements from either Kayombo or Loge, or their trainers, could also shift sentiment. Unexpected changes in the fight’s location or scheduling could introduce uncertainty. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the fighters’ relative strengths or the likelihood of either winning the Kayombo vs Loge match could cause the market to move.