TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 7:50 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Florent Bax and Melvin Vix in the M25 Luanda, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Florent Bax' if Florent Bax advances against Melvin Vix. This market will resolve to 'Melvin Vix' if Melvin Vix advances against Florent Bax. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Florent Bax and Melvin Vix in the M25 Luanda, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Florent Bax' if Florent Bax advances against Melvin Vix. This market will resolve to 'Melvin Vix' if Melvin Vix advances against Florent Bax. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. As more information becomes available and more traders participate, the odds here can converge or diverge from sportsbook odds depending on differing perspectives. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional bookmakers in accuracy, especially as the event approaches.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand, with increased buying pressure driving up the price and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each outcome in the Bax vs Vix match.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Florent Bax vs Melvin Vix match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in training regimes, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the players’ form or strategic approaches could also have a significant impact. Furthermore, public opinion and analysis from sports commentators may sway the market, as traders incorporate new information into their predictions about the Bax vs Vix match.