TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 8:08 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Florent Bax and Allan Gatoto in the M25 Luanda, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Florent Bax' if Florent Bax advances against Allan Gatoto. This market will resolve to 'Allan Gatoto' if Allan Gatoto advances against Florent Bax. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Florent Bax and Allan Gatoto in the M25 Luanda, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Florent Bax' if Florent Bax advances against Allan Gatoto. This market will resolve to 'Allan Gatoto' if Allan Gatoto advances against Florent Bax. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies, especially early on, as prediction markets can incorporate information and analysis that sportsbooks may not immediately factor in. Comparing the two can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember they represent different approaches to forecasting the outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's potential results. The current price indicates the crowd's collective expectation for the Bax vs Gatoto match.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Bax vs Gatoto match, as declared by the governing sporting body. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches, as any delays or changes to the event schedule could impact the timing of settlement for this market.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the players' form, injuries, or changes to their training regimens could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about the match location or conditions might also play a role. Furthermore, public sentiment, expert analysis, and even large individual trades on Polymarket can all contribute to price movements. Monitoring these factors closely will be crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on potential opportunities before this market resolves.