TOTAL VOLUME:
$155.3b
24H VOL:
$358,270,487
24H TRANSACTIONS:
3,002,125,488
OPEN INTEREST:
$2,041,693,191
423,163
Markets across
39,982
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,387
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 8:23 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Florent Bax and Adam Bajurko in the M25 Luanda, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Florent Bax' if Florent Bax advances against Adam Bajurko. This market will resolve to 'Adam Bajurko' if Adam Bajurko advances against Florent Bax. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Florent Bax and Adam Bajurko in the M25 Luanda, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Florent Bax' if Florent Bax advances against Adam Bajurko. This market will resolve to 'Adam Bajurko' if Adam Bajurko advances against Florent Bax. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals freely trading based on their own research and insights. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially when there’s significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome. Comparing the odds can reveal where the crowd believes there’s value, and whether the market is aligned with or diverges from expert analysis.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. The price of each share reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the changing beliefs of the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what traders collectively believe is the likelihood of a particular result in the Bax vs Bajurko match. The market’s efficiency depends on active participation and informed trading.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Florent Bax vs Adam Bajurko match, as reported by the governing body or official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches to understand the basis for the final determination.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 21, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in training regimens, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could shift the perceived probabilities. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role. Major upsets in related matches or broader tournament dynamics could also impact trading volume and price movements. Ultimately, any information that alters the assessment of either player’s chances of winning will likely be reflected in the market.