TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 11:28 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Fares Zakaria and Thomas Faurel in the M25 Luanda, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fares Zakaria' if Fares Zakaria advances against Thomas Faurel. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Faurel' if Thomas Faurel advances against Fares Zakaria. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Fares Zakaria and Thomas Faurel in the M25 Luanda, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fares Zakaria' if Fares Zakaria advances against Thomas Faurel. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Faurel' if Thomas Faurel advances against Fares Zakaria. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market’s odds are driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially when there's significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome. Analyzing these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, though it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic process ensures that the market price continuously adjusts to incorporate new information and changing sentiment regarding the Luanda tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Luanda tennis match between Fares Zakaria and Thomas Faurel. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources, such as official tournament websites or reputable sports news outlets. The final result will determine which shares pay out, and the value of those shares at resolution will reflect the accuracy of the market's predictions.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding the players' form, injuries, or changes to their playing schedules could significantly impact the odds. Unexpected weather conditions in Luanda, or even pre-match interviews revealing strategic insights, could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in expectations, causing the market to react accordingly. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price movements.