TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 8:22 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Fares Zakaria and Courtney John Lock in the M25 Luanda, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fares Zakaria' if Fares Zakaria advances against Courtney John Lock. This market will resolve to 'Courtney John Lock' if Courtney John Lock advances against Fares Zakaria. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Fares Zakaria and Courtney John Lock in the M25 Luanda, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fares Zakaria' if Fares Zakaria advances against Courtney John Lock. This market will resolve to 'Courtney John Lock' if Courtney John Lock advances against Fares Zakaria. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the beliefs of a diverse group of traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there’s significant public information or debate surrounding an event. If a large number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a certain outcome, they may trade in this market to take advantage of the difference. This can lead to prediction market odds being more accurate, or simply reflecting a different set of assumptions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective judgment of all participants on Polymarket and is constantly updated based on supply and demand. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Fares Zakaria vs Courtney John Lock fight, as determined by the relevant boxing authorities. The market will determine a winner based on the official fight result – whether by knockout, technical knockout, decision, or disqualification. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the outcome has been verified and reported, ensuring a transparent and reliable settlement process.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 28, 2026. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could all influence trader sentiment. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks might also prompt adjustments in this market. Furthermore, any updates on the fighters’ physical condition or tactical approaches leading up to the fight could shift the perceived probabilities. A major upset in a similar fight involving one of these athletes could also have an impact, as traders re-evaluate their assessments of their capabilities.