TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 9:21 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Emilien Demanet and Johan Mapuard in the M25 Luanda, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Emilien Demanet' if Emilien Demanet advances against Johan Mapuard. This market will resolve to 'Johan Mapuard' if Johan Mapuard advances against Emilien Demanet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Emilien Demanet and Johan Mapuard in the M25 Luanda, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Emilien Demanet' if Emilien Demanet advances against Johan Mapuard. This market will resolve to 'Johan Mapuard' if Johan Mapuard advances against Emilien Demanet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates insights from many individuals. These differences can arise due to varying information access, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see prediction market odds move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or as the event draws closer. Observing these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed forecasting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Luanda tennis match. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market adjusts dynamically to new information and changing sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current volume indicates the level of interest and conviction among traders.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Luanda tennis match between Emilien Demanet and Johan Mapuard. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy. Traders who hold shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The exact timing of resolution may depend on the speed of official result publication.
Several signals could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player form or strategic changes could also have a significant impact. Publicly available analysis from tennis experts, while not directly incorporated into the market, might influence trader behavior. Furthermore, large trades by individual participants could temporarily move the price, though the market typically self-corrects as more information becomes available. Monitoring these factors can provide insight into potential price movements.