TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 8:28 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Emilien Demanet and Andrea Motta in the M25 Luanda, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Emilien Demanet' if Emilien Demanet advances against Andrea Motta. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Motta' if Andrea Motta advances against Emilien Demanet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Emilien Demanet and Andrea Motta in the M25 Luanda, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Emilien Demanet' if Emilien Demanet advances against Andrea Motta. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Motta' if Andrea Motta advances against Emilien Demanet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while prediction markets aim to reflect the true probabilities as assessed by traders. If a significant difference exists between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook odds, it could indicate disagreement about the players' chances or differing levels of information available to each group. It's important to consider both sources when forming your own prediction about the Luanda tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome – in this case, either Emilien Demanet or Andrea Motta winning the Luanda tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd and adjusts as new information becomes available or opinions change among traders.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Luanda tennis match between Emilien Demanet and Andrea Motta, as published by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the match result as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about either Emilien Demanet or Andrea Motta’s preparation for the Luanda tennis match would also likely cause movement. Even broader factors, like significant shifts in public opinion or expert analysis, could contribute to changes in the market price as traders adjust their predictions.