TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 8:32 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Emerson Pedro and LUCAS GONCALVES FRANCA in the M25 Luanda, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Emerson Pedro' if Emerson Pedro advances against LUCAS GONCALVES FRANCA. This market will resolve to 'LUCAS GONCALVES FRANCA' if LUCAS GONCALVES FRANCA advances against Emerson Pedro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Emerson Pedro and LUCAS GONCALVES FRANCA in the M25 Luanda, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Emerson Pedro' if Emerson Pedro advances against LUCAS GONCALVES FRANCA. This market will resolve to 'LUCAS GONCALVES FRANCA' if LUCAS GONCALVES FRANCA advances against Emerson Pedro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small number of professionals, while this market aggregates opinions from many individuals. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments. It's common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or as the event draws nearer. Analyzing these differences can reveal valuable insights.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective sentiment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or other prediction markets. The current price reflects the aggregated views of those trading on the platform.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Luanda tennis match between Emerson Pedro and LUCAS GONCALVES FRANCA, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual match result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could prompt traders to reassess their predictions. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving either player could also impact sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a shift in expectations. Monitoring these signals and events will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 28, 2026.