TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 8:39 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Eliakim Coulibaly and Thomas Faurel in the M25 Luanda, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eliakim Coulibaly' if Eliakim Coulibaly advances against Thomas Faurel. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Faurel' if Thomas Faurel advances against Eliakim Coulibaly. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Eliakim Coulibaly and Thomas Faurel in the M25 Luanda, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eliakim Coulibaly' if Eliakim Coulibaly advances against Thomas Faurel. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Faurel' if Thomas Faurel advances against Eliakim Coulibaly. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant news breaks or as more information becomes available. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders capitalize on price inefficiencies between the two types of markets. Examining the comparison can reveal insights into public perception versus expert analysis.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on the platform, creating a constantly updated forecast for the Luanda tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the Luanda tennis match between Eliakim Coulibaly and Thomas Faurel, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will then determine the winning outcome based on this publicly available information. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will not. The exact payout amount will depend on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several signals could influence this market before Oct 31, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players might also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, significant shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media discussion, could lead to changes in trading volume and price. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential movements in this market as the event approaches.