TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 10:22 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexey Dubinin and Joao Rasgado in the M25 Luanda, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexey Dubinin' if Alexey Dubinin advances against Joao Rasgado. This market will resolve to 'Joao Rasgado' if Joao Rasgado advances against Alexey Dubinin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexey Dubinin and Joao Rasgado in the M25 Luanda, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexey Dubinin' if Alexey Dubinin advances against Joao Rasgado. This market will resolve to 'Joao Rasgado' if Joao Rasgado advances against Alexey Dubinin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, driven by user predictions, can sometimes identify discrepancies or undervalued outcomes compared to those offered by sportsbooks. It’s important to remember that both sources have their strengths and weaknesses, and comparing them can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the potential outcomes of the Dubinin vs Rasgado match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date assessment of the Dubinin vs Rasgado match’s potential results, based on the collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Dubinin vs Rasgado match, as declared by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 19, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could all impact trader sentiment and shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about player form or any controversies surrounding the Dubinin vs Rasgado match could also lead to significant price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a shift in expectations, prompting others to adjust their positions and driving further price movement within this market.