TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 8:10 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Afonso Oliveira and Joao Rasgado in the M25 Luanda, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Afonso Oliveira' if Afonso Oliveira advances against Joao Rasgado. This market will resolve to 'Joao Rasgado' if Joao Rasgado advances against Afonso Oliveira. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Afonso Oliveira and Joao Rasgado in the M25 Luanda, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Afonso Oliveira' if Afonso Oliveira advances against Joao Rasgado. This market will resolve to 'Joao Rasgado' if Joao Rasgado advances against Afonso Oliveira. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook odds due to differing information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments. If a significant discrepancy emerges between this market and traditional sportsbooks, it suggests that traders possess information not yet fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Afonso Oliveira vs Joao Rasgado match, as reported by the governing sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in match conditions, or updated performance statistics for either Afonso Oliveira or Joao Rasgado could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching decisions could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large influx of volume in one direction – can quickly move the market, reflecting a change in perceived probability. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price movements.