TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 11:56 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Bajurko and Afonso Oliveira in the M25 Luanda, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adam Bajurko' if Adam Bajurko advances against Afonso Oliveira. This market will resolve to 'Afonso Oliveira' if Afonso Oliveira advances against Adam Bajurko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Bajurko and Afonso Oliveira in the M25 Luanda, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adam Bajurko' if Adam Bajurko advances against Afonso Oliveira. This market will resolve to 'Afonso Oliveira' if Afonso Oliveira advances against Adam Bajurko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their beliefs and influence the price. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can take positions that drive the prediction market price in a different direction. This can lead to interesting discrepancies, and sometimes, prediction markets prove more accurate than traditional odds.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the Luanda tennis match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to changing conditions and provides a real-time assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Adam Bajurko vs Afonso Oliveira tennis match in Luanda. The platform will rely on widely accepted sports data sources to determine the winner of the match. It’s important to note that the resolution process is designed to be objective and transparent, ensuring a fair and accurate outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, might also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in expectations, causing a notable price movement in this market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding the market’s evolution.