TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 5:25 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Zhenxiong Dong and Yile Li in the M25 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zhenxiong Dong' if Zhenxiong Dong advances against Yile Li. This market will resolve to 'Yile Li' if Yile Li advances against Zhenxiong Dong. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Zhenxiong Dong and Yile Li in the M25 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zhenxiong Dong' if Zhenxiong Dong advances against Yile Li. This market will resolve to 'Yile Li' if Yile Li advances against Zhenxiong Dong. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The market’s efficiency is driven by the incentive for traders to accurately assess the probabilities and profit from any mispricing.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Luan match between Zhenxiong Dong and Yile Li, as declared by the governing body of the competition. The winning player will be determined by the official match results, and that information will be used to settle this market. Traders will be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or tactical approaches could significantly impact perceptions of their chances. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or changes in playing conditions could also be catalysts. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a shift in sentiment. Public opinion, analyst predictions, and even social media buzz surrounding the match could contribute to price movements.