TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 1:50 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Zhenxiong Dong and Xin Zhou in the M25 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zhenxiong Dong' if Zhenxiong Dong advances against Xin Zhou. This market will resolve to 'Xin Zhou' if Xin Zhou advances against Zhenxiong Dong. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Zhenxiong Dong and Xin Zhou in the M25 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zhenxiong Dong' if Zhenxiong Dong advances against Xin Zhou. This market will resolve to 'Xin Zhou' if Xin Zhou advances against Zhenxiong Dong. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual result of the Zhenxiong Dong vs Xin Zhou match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price is determined by the forces of supply and demand, with traders adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis of the Zhenxiong Dong vs Xin Zhou match. This creates a dynamic and responsive pricing system.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Zhenxiong Dong vs Xin Zhou match, as determined by the governing body of the sport. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout equivalent to 100 shares per winning unit, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will receive nothing.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected weather conditions could influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, public opinion shifts, expert analysis, and even social media buzz surrounding the Zhenxiong Dong vs Xin Zhou match can all contribute to price fluctuations. Major upsets in related matches or tournaments could also impact the perceived probabilities, leading to increased trading volume and price adjustments as traders reassess their positions.