TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 1:50 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuta Tomida and Petr Bar Biryukov in the M25 Luan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuta Tomida' if Yuta Tomida advances against Petr Bar Biryukov. This market will resolve to 'Petr Bar Biryukov' if Petr Bar Biryukov advances against Yuta Tomida. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuta Tomida and Petr Bar Biryukov in the M25 Luan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuta Tomida' if Yuta Tomida advances against Petr Bar Biryukov. This market will resolve to 'Petr Bar Biryukov' if Petr Bar Biryukov advances against Yuta Tomida. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds, reflecting the 'wisdom of the crowd' versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, biases, or simply variations in opinion. If there's a significant difference, it might suggest that the crowd perceives something that sportsbooks haven't fully accounted for, or vice versa. Examining these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the probability rises accordingly. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants. The current price indicates the market's aggregated assessment of the likelihood of each fighter winning.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Luan: Yuta Tomida vs Petr Bar Biryukov match, as declared by the relevant governing body. The outcome will be determined by which fighter is declared the winner of the match according to the official rules and regulations. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 15, 2026. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-match interviews expressing confidence or concern could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match conditions, such as a change in venue or rules, could also have an impact. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in social media or other sources, might lead to changes in trading activity and, consequently, the market price. Monitoring these signals can provide insight into potential price movements.