TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 5:28 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuquan Jin and Wen Bo Fan in the M25 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuquan Jin' if Yuquan Jin advances against Wen Bo Fan. This market will resolve to 'Wen Bo Fan' if Wen Bo Fan advances against Yuquan Jin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuquan Jin and Wen Bo Fan in the M25 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuquan Jin' if Yuquan Jin advances against Wen Bo Fan. This market will resolve to 'Wen Bo Fan' if Wen Bo Fan advances against Yuquan Jin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment regarding the Yuquan Jin vs Wen Bo Fan match.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Yuquan Jin vs Wen Bo Fan match, as reported by a trusted source for sporting event outcomes. The platform will determine the winning outcome based on the official results, and shares will be settled accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the match result to understand when and how this market will be finalized.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding the players' form, potential injuries, or changes in coaching strategies could significantly shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the match schedule or venue could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, major upsets in other related matches or tournaments might affect overall confidence in a player's chances. Monitoring sports news and analysis will be key to understanding potential catalysts that could move this market.