TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 5:17 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuquan Jin and Tin Chen in the M25 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuquan Jin' if Yuquan Jin advances against Tin Chen. This market will resolve to 'Tin Chen' if Tin Chen advances against Yuquan Jin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuquan Jin and Tin Chen in the M25 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuquan Jin' if Yuquan Jin advances against Tin Chen. This market will resolve to 'Tin Chen' if Tin Chen advances against Yuquan Jin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market relies on individuals freely trading based on their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or late-developing insights.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the Yuquan Jin vs Tin Chen match. The current volume indicates the level of interest and conviction surrounding each possible result.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Yuquan Jin vs Tin Chen match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the match result as the resolution date approaches, as this will determine the final settlement of this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected developments leading up to the match could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Public sentiment, reflected in expert analysis or social media discussions, can also play a role. Unexpected weather conditions or venue changes could also introduce uncertainty and drive trading volume. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market before Oct 12, 2026.