TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 5:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between You Du and Xin Zhou in the M25 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'You Du' if You Du advances against Xin Zhou. This market will resolve to 'Xin Zhou' if Xin Zhou advances against You Du. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between You Du and Xin Zhou in the M25 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'You Du' if You Du advances against Xin Zhou. This market will resolve to 'Xin Zhou' if Xin Zhou advances against You Du. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public perception and marketing strategies into their lines, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of both markets. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd disagrees with experts and potentially identify value opportunities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective prediction. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market efficiently incorporates new information and evolving sentiment regarding the You Du vs Xin Zhou match.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the You Du vs Xin Zhou match will be used to determine the winning share(s). Resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of the competition, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in match conditions, or updates on player form could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team dynamics could also influence the odds. Furthermore, major upsets in related matches or tournaments might lead traders to reassess their predictions. Monitoring these factors closely can provide valuable insights into potential market movements before Oct 11, 2026.