TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 5:32 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yingjie Tang and Zihao Liu in the M25 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yingjie Tang' if Yingjie Tang advances against Zihao Liu. This market will resolve to 'Zihao Liu' if Zihao Liu advances against Yingjie Tang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yingjie Tang and Zihao Liu in the M25 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yingjie Tang' if Yingjie Tang advances against Zihao Liu. This market will resolve to 'Zihao Liu' if Zihao Liu advances against Yingjie Tang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and profit margins, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of each venue. If significant differences appear, it could indicate that the crowd believes a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome in the Yingjie Tang vs Zihao Liu match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants, offering a unique view compared to polls or analyst predictions for the Yingjie Tang vs Zihao Liu match.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Yingjie Tang vs Zihao Liu match, as determined by the relevant sporting authority. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified outcome. It's important to monitor news sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in strategy for either Yingjie Tang or Zihao Liu could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements related to the match schedule or venue could also create volatility. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket could temporarily impact the price, as could broader shifts in sentiment regarding the players' chances of winning the match.