TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 4:18 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yan Cheng CHEN and Kuan-Shou Chen in the M25 Luan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yan Cheng CHEN' if Yan Cheng CHEN advances against Kuan-Shou Chen. This market will resolve to 'Kuan-Shou Chen' if Kuan-Shou Chen advances against Yan Cheng CHEN. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yan Cheng CHEN and Kuan-Shou Chen in the M25 Luan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yan Cheng CHEN' if Yan Cheng CHEN advances against Kuan-Shou Chen. This market will resolve to 'Kuan-Shou Chen' if Kuan-Shou Chen advances against Yan Cheng CHEN. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise, as traders attempt to profit from the difference. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, particularly in response to breaking news or shifts in public sentiment.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the collective intelligence of the traders participating, and adjusts dynamically as new information becomes available. The current trading volume indicates the level of interest and conviction surrounding the event.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Luan match between Yan Cheng CHEN and Kuan-Shou Chen. This includes verifying the final score and confirming the declared winner through official sources. The platform will then determine the payout for winning shares based on the final result, ensuring a transparent and accurate settlement process.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in strategy could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the match schedule or venue could also cause fluctuations. Furthermore, major upsets in other related matches or tournaments might lead traders to reassess their probabilities. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could also play a role in driving price changes in this market.