TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 4:26 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Xirui Han and Yaojie ZENG in the M25 Luan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xirui Han' if Xirui Han advances against Yaojie ZENG. This market will resolve to 'Yaojie ZENG' if Yaojie ZENG advances against Xirui Han. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Xirui Han and Yaojie ZENG in the M25 Luan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xirui Han' if Xirui Han advances against Yaojie ZENG. This market will resolve to 'Yaojie ZENG' if Yaojie ZENG advances against Xirui Han. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a margin for themselves, while this market is driven by participants directly wagering on the outcome. If sportsbook odds significantly diverge from those seen here, it could indicate disagreement about the likely result, or that the market has identified information not yet fully incorporated into sportsbook pricing. It’s important to compare and contrast to form your own informed opinion.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or other prediction markets. The current price reflects the aggregated beliefs of all traders participating in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Luan: Xirui Han vs Yaojie ZENG match. The platform will rely on publicly available and widely accepted sources to determine the winner of the match. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Polymarket once the event has concluded and the outcome has been verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding the players' form, injuries, or changes to their strategies could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause movement. Publicly available analysis from sports experts, or shifts in betting patterns on sportsbooks, might also influence traders. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the relative probabilities of each player winning could lead to changes in the market price.