TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 7:01 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Xirui Han and James Van Herzeele in the M25 Luan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xirui Han' if Xirui Han advances against James Van Herzeele. This market will resolve to 'James Van Herzeele' if James Van Herzeele advances against Xirui Han. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Xirui Han and James Van Herzeele in the M25 Luan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xirui Han' if Xirui Han advances against James Van Herzeele. This market will resolve to 'James Van Herzeele' if James Van Herzeele advances against Xirui Han. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' perspective, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks may set initial lines to attract action, while this market allows traders to continuously adjust probabilities based on new information and analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when there’s considerable uncertainty surrounding the outcome. Comparing the two can offer a broader understanding of expected probabilities for the M25 Luan match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event's potential results. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven entirely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Luan match, as reported by the governing body or official tournament organizers. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the settled outcome. It’s important to monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.