TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 5:27 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between TZU-YUAN TSENG and Lingxi Zhao in the M25 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'TZU-YUAN TSENG' if TZU-YUAN TSENG advances against Lingxi Zhao. This market will resolve to 'Lingxi Zhao' if Lingxi Zhao advances against TZU-YUAN TSENG. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between TZU-YUAN TSENG and Lingxi Zhao in the M25 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'TZU-YUAN TSENG' if TZU-YUAN TSENG advances against Lingxi Zhao. This market will resolve to 'Lingxi Zhao' if Lingxi Zhao advances against TZU-YUAN TSENG. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a more accurate forecast of events than traditional sportsbook odds, as they aggregate the wisdom of the crowd. However, sportsbook odds often set the initial baseline for comparison. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information available to each group, or biases within each system. It's common to see this market’s probabilities diverge from initial sportsbook lines as more information becomes available and traders refine their assessments. Analyzing these differences can be a valuable strategy for informed decision-making.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the match between TZU-YUAN TSENG and Lingxi Zhao. Any official announcements regarding the match, including the winner, will be used to determine the final settlement of this market. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches to stay informed about potential factors that could influence the outcome.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected announcements related to the match could cause shifts in the odds. Performance in preceding matches or tournaments could also influence trader sentiment. Additionally, large trading volume from informed traders could indicate new information or a change in market perception. Monitoring these factors closely will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market before it resolves.