TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 5:31 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng and Xing Dao Chen in the M25 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng' if Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng advances against Xing Dao Chen. This market will resolve to 'Xing Dao Chen' if Xing Dao Chen advances against Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng and Xing Dao Chen in the M25 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng' if Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng advances against Xing Dao Chen. This market will resolve to 'Xing Dao Chen' if Xing Dao Chen advances against Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment. This dynamic pricing allows the market to efficiently incorporate new data and provide a real-time estimate of the event's potential results. The current volume suggests a degree of interest in the possible outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Luan match, as determined by the governing body of the competition. The platform will rely on publicly available and widely accepted sources to verify the winner of the match. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the resolved outcome. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding the condition of the competitors, Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng or Xing Dao Chen, such as injuries or changes in training regimens, could significantly impact the odds. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause shifts in the market. Furthermore, any public statements from analysts or experts offering predictions about the match’s outcome might sway trader sentiment and affect the price of shares. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.