TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 5:26 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between MINGLIANG YUE and Ye Hongyu in the M25 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'MINGLIANG YUE' if MINGLIANG YUE advances against Ye Hongyu. This market will resolve to 'Ye Hongyu' if Ye Hongyu advances against MINGLIANG YUE. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between MINGLIANG YUE and Ye Hongyu in the M25 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'MINGLIANG YUE' if MINGLIANG YUE advances against Ye Hongyu. This market will resolve to 'Ye Hongyu' if Ye Hongyu advances against MINGLIANG YUE. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by real money changing hands. Discrepancies can emerge due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments. If significant differences exist between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it could signal opportunities for arbitrage or indicate that one venue has a more informed view of the event’s likely outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the MINGLIANG YUE vs Ye Hongyu match.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the MINGLIANG YUE vs Ye Hongyu match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or unexpected developments related to the MINGLIANG YUE vs Ye Hongyu match could significantly shift trader sentiment. Public opinion, expert analysis, and even social media buzz can also play a role in driving price movements. Major upsets in related matches or broader sporting events might also indirectly impact this market, as traders reassess their overall probabilities.