TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 5:25 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Maxim Shin and SHIXUN ZHU in the M25 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maxim Shin' if Maxim Shin advances against SHIXUN ZHU. This market will resolve to 'SHIXUN ZHU' if SHIXUN ZHU advances against Maxim Shin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maxim Shin and SHIXUN ZHU in the M25 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maxim Shin' if Maxim Shin advances against SHIXUN ZHU. This market will resolve to 'SHIXUN ZHU' if SHIXUN ZHU advances against Maxim Shin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The current probability of a particular outcome is determined by the ratio of shares traded for that outcome to the total shares outstanding.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Maxim Shin vs SHIXUN ZHU match, as reported by the governing body or official tournament organizers. The market will determine which player is declared the winner of the match, and that result will be used to settle all outstanding shares. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could all shift trader sentiment. Public announcements about player health, training updates, or even weather conditions affecting the match could also cause significant price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants or shifts in broader public opinion could also contribute to movement in this market.