TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 6:11 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matthew Dellavedova and Zhao Zhao in the M25 Luan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matthew Dellavedova' if Matthew Dellavedova advances against Zhao Zhao. This market will resolve to 'Zhao Zhao' if Zhao Zhao advances against Matthew Dellavedova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matthew Dellavedova and Zhao Zhao in the M25 Luan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matthew Dellavedova' if Matthew Dellavedova advances against Zhao Zhao. This market will resolve to 'Zhao Zhao' if Zhao Zhao advances against Matthew Dellavedova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individual predictions and trading activity. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when public sentiment shifts. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights into how the crowd views the likelihood of various outcomes in the Dellavedova vs Zhao match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will fluctuate, reflecting the evolving consensus. The current price indicates the market's aggregate assessment of the chances of each player winning the match.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Dellavedova vs Zhao match, as determined by the governing body or official source for this sporting event. The platform will verify the results against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in their coaching strategies could significantly impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or venue changes could also cause shifts in the odds. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants or significant media coverage could drive price movements as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions for the Dellavedova vs Zhao match.