TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 5:29 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matthew Dellavedova and Yanki Erel in the M25 Luan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matthew Dellavedova' if Matthew Dellavedova advances against Yanki Erel. This market will resolve to 'Yanki Erel' if Yanki Erel advances against Matthew Dellavedova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matthew Dellavedova and Yanki Erel in the M25 Luan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matthew Dellavedova' if Matthew Dellavedova advances against Yanki Erel. This market will resolve to 'Yanki Erel' if Yanki Erel advances against Matthew Dellavedova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Comparing prediction market odds to sportsbook odds reveals how the wisdom of the crowd differs from professional oddsmakers. Often, prediction markets can offer different probabilities, especially when unique information or perspectives are factored in by traders. This market, like others, may demonstrate a divergence from traditional sportsbooks, potentially reflecting insights not fully captured by conventional analysis. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, although it's important to remember that both sources have their strengths and weaknesses.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment surrounding the Dellavedova vs Erel match.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Dellavedova vs Erel match, as determined by the governing body or official sources for the competition. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome and their positions in the market. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts accordingly.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 17, 2026. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Matthew Dellavedova or Yanki Erel, such as injuries or illness, would likely impact trading activity. Changes in team strategies or reported matchups could also influence the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, public sentiment shifts, potentially driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could cause traders to adjust their positions, leading to price fluctuations in this market. Unexpected developments leading up to the match are key catalysts.