TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 5:27 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Markus Malaszszak and Yutong Du in the M25 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Markus Malaszszak' if Markus Malaszszak advances against Yutong Du. This market will resolve to 'Yutong Du' if Yutong Du advances against Markus Malaszszak. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Markus Malaszszak and Yutong Du in the M25 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Markus Malaszszak' if Markus Malaszszak advances against Yutong Du. This market will resolve to 'Yutong Du' if Yutong Du advances against Markus Malaszszak. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. Higher volume generally indicates greater confidence in the market’s price, while significant price swings can signal new information or changing sentiment. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Luan match, as reported by an authoritative source. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the outcome is officially determined and reported. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available information and aims to provide a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could impact the perceived probabilities. Significant media coverage or expert analysis predicting a particular outcome could also drive trading volume and price changes. Unexpected results in related matches or tournaments could also shift sentiment. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact on the M25 Luan match is key to understanding how this market might evolve in the coming weeks.