TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 4:21 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Markus Malaszszak and Ko Suzuki in the M25 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Markus Malaszszak' if Markus Malaszszak advances against Ko Suzuki. This market will resolve to 'Ko Suzuki' if Ko Suzuki advances against Markus Malaszszak. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Markus Malaszszak and Ko Suzuki in the M25 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Markus Malaszszak' if Markus Malaszszak advances against Ko Suzuki. This market will resolve to 'Ko Suzuki' if Ko Suzuki advances against Markus Malaszszak. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, aiming to profit regardless of the outcome. This market, driven by the collective intelligence of traders on Polymarket, aims to reflect the true probability of each outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, information access, and risk assessments between market participants and sportsbook operators. It's valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded view of the potential result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe Markus Malaszszak will win, for example, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will climb, and vice versa for Ko Suzuki. This dynamic pricing ensures the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and collective sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Luan match between Markus Malaszszak and Ko Suzuki, as declared by the event organizers. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-match interviews expressing confidence or concern could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the event’s conditions, such as venue changes or rule adjustments, might also cause fluctuations. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of Markus Malaszszak or Ko Suzuki’s chances of winning has the potential to move this market significantly before Oct 13, 2026.