TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 5:18 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kuan-Yi Lee and Dong Ju Kim in the M25 Luan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kuan-Yi Lee' if Kuan-Yi Lee advances against Dong Ju Kim. This market will resolve to 'Dong Ju Kim' if Dong Ju Kim advances against Kuan-Yi Lee. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kuan-Yi Lee and Dong Ju Kim in the M25 Luan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kuan-Yi Lee' if Kuan-Yi Lee advances against Dong Ju Kim. This market will resolve to 'Dong Ju Kim' if Dong Ju Kim advances against Kuan-Yi Lee. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows individuals to express their own informed opinions, leading to odds that may diverge if there’s significant disagreement with the sportsbook’s assessment. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information and perspectives not immediately factored into traditional betting lines, especially as new information emerges.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Kuan-Yi Lee vs Dong Ju Kim match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of occurring. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price, indicating decreasing confidence. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kuan-Yi Lee vs Dong Ju Kim match, as declared by the governing body of the sport. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered according to standard procedures, but the initial declared outcome will serve as the basis for settlement. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches to understand the factors that will determine the final outcome.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could influence trader sentiment. Publicly released analysis from sports experts, shifts in betting odds at major sportsbooks, and even social media discussions can all contribute to price fluctuations. Unexpected weather conditions, if the match is outdoors, could also be a catalyst. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning the Kuan-Yi Lee vs Dong Ju Kim match has the potential to move this market.