TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 2:36 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ko Suzuki and Mert Alkaya in the M25 Luan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ko Suzuki' if Ko Suzuki advances against Mert Alkaya. This market will resolve to 'Mert Alkaya' if Mert Alkaya advances against Ko Suzuki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ko Suzuki and Mert Alkaya in the M25 Luan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ko Suzuki' if Ko Suzuki advances against Mert Alkaya. This market will resolve to 'Mert Alkaya' if Mert Alkaya advances against Ko Suzuki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market allows anyone to trade on their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced the Suzuki vs Alkaya match, the prediction market odds will likely diverge. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbooks, especially when there’s strong public interest or disagreement about the likely result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Suzuki vs Alkaya match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price reflects the collective opinion of traders on Polymarket and can change rapidly as new information becomes available or sentiment shifts. The higher the price of a share, the greater the implied probability of that outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Suzuki vs Alkaya match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The determination will be based on the official result declared by the event organizers. The platform will then verify the outcome against these sources to finalize the market and distribute payouts to winning traders. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available information and does not involve any subjective judgment.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 15, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions impacting the match could cause significant shifts. Unexpected announcements about player form or pre-match analysis from respected commentators could also move the market. Furthermore, large trades executed on Polymarket by influential traders might create momentum and affect the perceived probability of either player winning the Suzuki vs Alkaya match.