TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 5:26 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between James Van Herzeele and Hengyu Lu in the M25 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'James Van Herzeele' if James Van Herzeele advances against Hengyu Lu. This market will resolve to 'Hengyu Lu' if Hengyu Lu advances against James Van Herzeele. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between James Van Herzeele and Hengyu Lu in the M25 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'James Van Herzeele' if James Van Herzeele advances against Hengyu Lu. This market will resolve to 'Hengyu Lu' if Hengyu Lu advances against James Van Herzeele. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a share, and therefore, their perceived likelihood of a particular result in the M25 Luan match.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the match between James Van Herzeele and Hengyu Lu as reported by the relevant governing body for M25 Luan. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the players' form, injuries, or changes in strategy could significantly shift the odds. Public sentiment, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, might also play a role. Unexpected announcements related to the event itself, such as changes to the match schedule or venue, could also cause movement. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning will likely impact trading volume and price fluctuations in this market.