TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 5:28 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Hao Duan and George Russell in the M25 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hao Duan' if Hao Duan advances against George Russell. This market will resolve to 'George Russell' if George Russell advances against Hao Duan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Hao Duan and George Russell in the M25 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hao Duan' if Hao Duan advances against George Russell. This market will resolve to 'George Russell' if George Russell advances against Hao Duan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence of the traders participating. The current price indicates what traders believe is the likelihood of a specific result in the Hao Duan vs George Russell matchup.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Hao Duan vs George Russell competition, as determined by the governing body of the sport. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution, while those who bet on the losing outcome will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding the form or fitness of either Hao Duan or George Russell would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected announcements about strategy, team changes, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, may also play a role, although this market represents the views of traders on Polymarket. Major upsets in related competitions or changes in betting odds at sportsbooks could also contribute to price fluctuations.