TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 5:32 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Cuihaozhe Guo and Yua Taka in the M25 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cuihaozhe Guo' if Cuihaozhe Guo advances against Yua Taka. This market will resolve to 'Yua Taka' if Yua Taka advances against Cuihaozhe Guo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Cuihaozhe Guo and Yua Taka in the M25 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cuihaozhe Guo' if Cuihaozhe Guo advances against Yua Taka. This market will resolve to 'Yua Taka' if Yua Taka advances against Cuihaozhe Guo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment. The current price indicates what the market believes is the likelihood of each player winning the Cuihaozhe Guo vs Yua Taka match, based on the actions of those trading on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Cuihaozhe Guo vs Yua Taka match, as declared by the governing body of the sport. The market will determine which player won, and shares will be redeemed accordingly. The outcome will be determined by the official result, and any disputes will be resolved based on publicly available information.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in training regimens, or strategic adjustments could shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about player form or potential matchups could also cause movement. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can impact the price, as traders react to new information or express changing beliefs about the Cuihaozhe Guo vs Yua Taka match. Public sentiment and expert analysis may also play a role.