TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 4:52 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Boris Butulija and Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng in the M25 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Boris Butulija' if Boris Butulija advances against Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng. This market will resolve to 'Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng' if Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng advances against Boris Butulija. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Boris Butulija and Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng in the M25 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Boris Butulija' if Boris Butulija advances against Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng. This market will resolve to 'Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng' if Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng advances against Boris Butulija. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Polymarket allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. This can lead to differences in implied probabilities. It's common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbooks in accuracy, as they harness the wisdom of the crowd and are incentivized to accurately forecast the result of the M25 Luan match. Comparing these odds can offer a broader understanding of potential outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for one outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring in the M25 Luan match. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, constantly adjusting to new information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Luan match between Boris Butulija and Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official announcements regarding the match to stay informed about the resolution process and any potential delays.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 13, 2026. Any news regarding the form or potential injuries of Boris Butulija or Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng would likely cause significant movement. Updates on match conditions, such as the playing surface or weather, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the event itself, or even broader developments in the M25 Luan circuit, could shift probabilities and lead to changes in volume and price. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential market movements.