TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 5:32 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Boda Zheng and Yuan Cheng Yang in the M25 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Boda Zheng' if Boda Zheng advances against Yuan Cheng Yang. This market will resolve to 'Yuan Cheng Yang' if Yuan Cheng Yang advances against Boda Zheng. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Boda Zheng and Yuan Cheng Yang in the M25 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Boda Zheng' if Boda Zheng advances against Yuan Cheng Yang. This market will resolve to 'Yuan Cheng Yang' if Yuan Cheng Yang advances against Boda Zheng. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by house biases or differing information sources. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, leading to a dynamic price discovery process. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can provide a broader perspective on the likely outcome of the M25 Luan match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, creating a dynamic and responsive market. This means the price isn't fixed but rather a constantly evolving assessment of the potential result of the M25 Luan match, driven by the collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Luan match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to their share holdings at the time of resolution. The platform will verify the result and distribute funds accordingly, ensuring a transparent and reliable process for all participants.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or unexpected developments leading up to the M25 Luan match could significantly shift trader sentiment. Public announcements, expert analysis, and even social media buzz can all play a role in driving price movements. Unexpected upsets in related matches or broader trends within the sport could also impact trading activity, causing the odds to fluctuate as traders adjust their predictions.