TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 5:17 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Samuel Pohl and Luca Preda in the M25 Las Vegas, NV, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Samuel Pohl' if Samuel Pohl advances against Luca Preda. This market will resolve to 'Luca Preda' if Luca Preda advances against Samuel Pohl. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Samuel Pohl and Luca Preda in the M25 Las Vegas, NV, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Samuel Pohl' if Samuel Pohl advances against Luca Preda. This market will resolve to 'Luca Preda' if Luca Preda advances against Samuel Pohl. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregate assessment of all participants, making it a dynamic representation of collective intelligence regarding the Pohl vs Preda match. The current price reflects the prevailing sentiment among traders.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Samuel Pohl vs Luca Preda match, as reported by a recognized authority in the sport. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event’s progress as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the condition of either Samuel Pohl or Luca Preda, such as injuries or changes in training regimens, could significantly shift the odds. Public statements from analysts or experts offering predictions about the match’s outcome could also impact trading. Unexpected developments in the broader competitive landscape or changes in the perceived form of either player could also lead to price movements. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market before Nov 2, 2026.