TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 7:55 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Preston Stearns and Alejandro Arcila in the M25 Las Vegas, NV, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Preston Stearns' if Preston Stearns advances against Alejandro Arcila. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Arcila' if Alejandro Arcila advances against Preston Stearns. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Preston Stearns and Alejandro Arcila in the M25 Las Vegas, NV, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Preston Stearns' if Preston Stearns advances against Alejandro Arcila. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Arcila' if Alejandro Arcila advances against Preston Stearns. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregate belief of informed traders. If sportsbook odds significantly differ from those found here, it could indicate disagreement about the true probability of an outcome. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment changes. Analyzing both can provide a more comprehensive view of potential event outcomes.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Stearns vs Arcila match, as reported by recognized sports authorities and news sources. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in the market’s settlement data on Polymarket. The process ensures a transparent and verifiable conclusion to this market, reflecting the actual result of the competition.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in training regimens, or unexpected announcements related to the Stearns vs Arcila match could significantly shift trader sentiment. Public analysis from sports experts and updated rankings could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket itself can cause noticeable price fluctuations, especially with lower volume. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Nov 5, 2026.